Iran’s war with Israel could diminish Russia’s supply of missiles
Iran’s war against Israel could curtail Russia’s supply of ballistic missiles from the Islamic republic.
Western officials believe Tehran is likely to want to stockpile its own supplies rather than donating them overseas, as previously promised to Moscow.
A senior Nato official said: “The recent hostilities that we’ve seen between Israel and Iran certainly will negatively impact Iran’s future donations, specifically missiles.”
Russia would have to domestically produce its own missiles or lean on North Korea for supplies, they added.
The source said they could also see the Islamic republic’s support for Russia’s own production of Iranian-designed attack drones diminish.
However, this was unlikely to be a problem for Moscow, which now manufactures Shahed-type one-way attack drones itself.
It was reported earlier in 2025 that Iran and Russia had reached an agreement for the Islamic regime to supply ballistic missiles for Vladimir Putin’s war in Ukraine.
The two rogue states have also signed a defence pact, promising to team up to develop their militaries.
The Nato official said Moscow would probably use Israel’s destruction of Iran’s air defence systems “opportunistically” to sell versions of its S-400 surface-to-air missile batteries.
Russia’s intelligence officers could also be dispatched to Tehran to study any data collected from Israel’s F-35 missions over the country in recent days, it is understood.
Meanwhile, Ukraine’s defence minister said it would take a meeting between Volodymyr Zelensky and Putin to broker a ceasefire.
Rustem Umerov has led Kyiv’s delegation in two rounds of direct talks with Russian diplomats.
But they have failed to make any progress because Moscow refuses to drop hardline demands for any peace deal.
Speaking on the sidelines of the Nato summit in The Hague, Mr Umerov said any future talks with Russia would have to focus on arranging a meeting between the two presidents.
“During this time, we could achieve some agreements on a ceasefire,” he added.
This marks a change in tactics from the Ukrainians, who had been pushing for an unconditional 30-day ceasefire before any face-to-face talks at leaders’ level.
Neither Mr Zelensky nor Putin have ruled out meeting each other as part of Donald Trump’s efforts to end the three-year war.
The Russian president in recent weeks has suggested there could be a third round of direct talks between the two countries before the end of June.
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